New PDF release: A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem:

By Gary King

This publication offers an answer to the ecological inference challenge, which has plagued clients of statistical tools for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level habit from mixture (ecological) facts? In political technological know-how, this question arises while individual-level surveys are unavailable (for example, neighborhood or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), inadequate (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference challenge additionally confronts researchers in different components of significant importance in public coverage, and different educational disciplines, starting from epidemiology and advertising to sociology and quantitative background. even though many have tried to make such cross-level inferences, students agree that every one present tools yield very faulty conclusions concerning the international. during this quantity, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem.

King starts with a qualitative evaluation, readable even through these and not using a statistical heritage. He then unifies the it seems that assorted findings within the methodological literature, in order that just one aggregation challenge continues to be solved. He then offers his resolution, in addition to empirical reviews of the answer that come with over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from actual combination information to the recognized individual-level resolution. the tactic works in practice.

King's method to the ecological inference challenge will let empirical researchers to enquire noticeable questions that experience heretofore proved unanswerable, and circulation ahead fields of inquiry within which development has been stifled via this problem.

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A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data by Gary King

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